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Replimune Group, Inc. (REPL)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY2026 EPS of -$0.90 missed Wall Street consensus of -$0.79*, with no revenue reported; net loss was $83.1M as operating expenses moderated sequentially while remaining elevated YoY .
  • Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments fell to $323.6M from $403.3M in Q1 and $483.8M in Q4 FY2025; management reiterated a cash runway “late into the fourth quarter of 2026” .
  • FDA accepted the RP1 BLA resubmission with an April 10, 2026 PDUFA target action date; Type A meeting minutes indicated IGNYTE-3 could potentially support approval, reframing the regulatory narrative post-CRL .
  • Updated clinical/biomarker data at SITC showed RP1+nivolumab reversing resistance mechanisms with ORR 33.6% and median DOR 24.8 months; acral melanoma analysis presented at ESMO showed 44% ORR, supporting efficacy signals ahead of PDUFA .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • FDA accepted RP1 BLA resubmission; IGNYTE-3 “could potentially support approval.” CEO: “We are currently partnering with the agency on the ongoing review to bring this important therapy to patients.” .
  • SITC late-breaking abstract: RP1+nivolumab upregulated gene signatures linked to PD-1 responsiveness; ORR 33.6% with 24.8-month median DOR, consistent responses across PD-L1 strata and resistance settings .
  • ESMO acral melanoma subgroup: ORR 44% (8/18) with 11.9-month median DOR; favorable safety with mostly transient grade 1–2 TRAEs .

What Went Wrong

  • EPS missed consensus; reported -$0.90 vs -$0.79*, reflecting sustained R&D and SG&A investment for IGNYTE-3 and commercialization readiness .
  • YoY operating expenses rose (R&D $57.9M vs $43.4M; SG&A $26.4M vs $15.5M), widening YoY net loss ($83.1M vs $53.1M) .
  • Rapid cash burn (cash down to $323.6M from $403.3M in Q1 and $483.8M in Q4), compressing balance sheet metrics (equity $263.3M vs $336.7M in Q1) .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$74.1 $86.7 $83.1
Net Loss per Share ($)N/A$(0.95) $(0.90)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$54.0 $57.8 $57.9
SG&A Expense ($USD Millions)$25.4 $32.6 $26.4
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)N/A$90.4 $84.3
Cash, Cash Equivalents & ST Investments ($USD Millions)$483.8 $403.3 $323.6
Working Capital ($USD Millions)$433.5 $353.8 $280.8
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$551.3 $469.5 $389.5
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$415.8 $336.7 $263.3

KPIs and clinical signals:

KPIQ4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
RP1+nivolumab IGNYTE ORR (%)N/AN/A33.6
RP1+nivolumab IGNYTE Median DOR (months)N/AN/A24.8
Acral Melanoma ORR (%)N/AN/A44
Acral Melanoma Median DOR (months)N/AN/A11.9

Estimates comparison:

MetricQ1 FY2026 EstimateQ1 FY2026 ActualQ2 FY2026 EstimateQ2 FY2026 Actual
EPS ($)-$0.80*-$0.95 -$0.79*-$0.90
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00*N/A$0.50*N/A

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayFY2026“Into Q4 2026” (as of 3/31/25) “Late into Q4 2026” (as of 9/30/25) Maintained (clarified timing)
RP1 BLA StatusAdvanced MelanomaCRL received July 21, 2025 BLA resubmission accepted; PDUFA April 10, 2026 Raised (path to potential approval restored)
IGNYTE-3 RoleConfirmatoryPost-CRL design to be discussed with FDA FDA indicated IGNYTE-3 could potentially support approval Positive regulatory signal
RP2 HCC ProtocolPhase 2RP2 + atezolizumab/bevacizumab; data H1 2026 Protocol amended to include RP2 monotherapy; data by end of 2026 Timeline extended; scope broadened

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 FY2025)Previous Mentions (Q1 FY2026)Current Period (Q2 FY2026)Trend
Regulatory/LegalPriority review on schedule; launch-ready ahead of July 22 PDUFA CRL received; path forward with FDA; IGNYTE-3 design to be discussed BLA resubmission accepted; PDUFA 4/10/26; IGNYTE-3 could support approval Recovering/regulatory momentum
R&D Execution (RP1)Global IGNYTE-3 enrollment underway Continued evaluation across NMSC; ARTACUS monotherapy data encouraging SITC biomarker/clinical updates (ORR/DOR); ESMO acral melanoma data Strengthening clinical narrative
Commercial ReadinessFull commercial infrastructure in place pre-PDUFA Scaling personnel/medical affairs pre-launch Continued prep for potential RP1 launch; elevated SG&A Ongoing investment
Cash/Runway$483.8M; runway into Q4 2026 $403.3M; into Q4 2026 $323.6M; late into Q4 2026 Cash burn sustained
RP2 ProgramREVEAL uveal melanoma enrolling REVEAL ongoing; HCC trial enrolling HCC protocol amended; BTC cohort to begin in Q4 2025 Broader development scope

Management Commentary

  • CEO on BLA acceptance: “We are currently partnering with the agency on the ongoing review to bring this important therapy to patients.” .
  • CEO on RP1 post-CRL: “We are committed to finding an expeditious path forward with the FDA.” .
  • CMO on SITC data: “RP1 plus nivolumab can potentially reprogram the tumor microenvironment and reverse mechanisms of resistance to immune checkpoint blockade.” .
  • Strategic focus: Maintain IGNYTE-3 momentum and broaden RP2 program while preserving late-Q4 FY2026 runway .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript was not accessible via our tools; MarketBeat lists the conference call as Nov 6, 2025 at 8:30am ET, but no transcript content is available to extract Q&A themes .
  • No guidance clarifications beyond press release disclosures could be confirmed due to transcript unavailability .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Q2 FY2026 actual -$0.90 vs consensus -$0.79* (miss of -$0.11); Q1 actual -$0.95 vs -$0.80* (miss of -$0.15). Persistent opex investment drove underperformance vs consensus despite sequential opex moderation .
  • Revenue: Company did not report revenue; consensus expected $0.50M* in Q2 and $0.00M* in Q1. The pre-revenue status remains consistent with clinical-stage profile.
  • Estimates likely need to reflect: sustained SG&A for launch readiness, IGNYTE-3 costs in R&D, and the PDUFA timing shift to April 2026.
    Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory path re-established: RP1 BLA resubmission acceptance with 4/10/26 PDUFA and FDA signaling IGNYTE-3 could support approval resets the medium-term catalyst calendar .
  • Clinical momentum: SITC/ESMO data reinforce efficacy/durability claims and mechanistic rationale, supporting approval prospects and potential label discussions post-approval .
  • Cash runway to late Q4 FY2026 provides operational flexibility through PDUFA and early commercialization, but burn rate warrants monitoring as SG&A and R&D remain high .
  • Near-term trading lens: Expect stock sensitivity to FDA interactions, IGNYTE-3 updates, and SITC/ESMO data reception; an additional data de-risking could improve sentiment into PDUFA .
  • Estimate revisions: Consensus should reflect continued opex, lack of revenue until commercialization, and timing changes in RP2 programs; EPS misses driven by investment rather than execution shortfalls .
  • Watch confirmatory design clarity: Detailed IGNYTE-3 operational progress and endpoints (OS primary) may shape payer and clinician expectations post-approval .
  • Risk checks: Prior CRL and compressed balance sheet necessitate tight execution on manufacturing, commercial build, and regulatory timelines; emphasis on capital discipline through 2026 .